Daily Entry: November 6th, 2017

Tue Nov 07 00:06:13 UTC 2017
Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 Computer
0030 SLEEP
0100 SLEEP
0130 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 SLEEP
1030 Computer
1100 Shower
1130 Walk to work
1200 Lunch
1230 Lunch
1300 Revisit ID Mapping UI
1330 PLANNING
1400 CA-3359
1430 Call USPS
1500 Meet with David/Noon
1530 CA-3359
1600 CA-3359
1630 End of day review
1700 Walk to library
1730 Reading
1800 Reading
1830 Reading
1900 Walk home
1930 Walk to Livio's Hanging at home
2000 Voting Hanging at home
2030 Hanging out Waking to Livio's
2100 Hanging out Voting
2130 Walk home Hanging out
2200 Gaming: Overwatch Hanging out
2230 Gaming: Overwatch Walking home
2300 Gaming: Overwatch SLEEP
2330 Gaming: Overwatch SLEEP
Tue Nov 07 01:25:11 UTC 2017

Basic Economics.

Page 437: Foreigners holding US debt is bad, foreigners running banks in various developing countries was fine earlier.

Page 440: "It is one thing to have a national debt as large as the Gross Domestic Product, or larger, at the end of a major war, for the rturn of peace means drastic reductions in military spending[...]" I think drastic reductions in military spending is definitely still the answer here.

Page 443: "The only way to determine whether the benefits [of the ferry ride] are really worth the cost of $108 per round trip is to charge $108 per round trip." This is the author talking about subsidized ferry rides around the San Francisco area.

This is a false statement. If all these people getting ferry rides are now not driving, then we have lessened the strain of rush hour on the roads in these areas. This could potentially be helping traffic overall and reducing commute times via pricing incentives. This could very well be a great allocation of the ferry resource, and alternative uses that are not subsidized may well lead to more cogested traffic and thus less productive work being done overall.

Though, I don't know how likely that is to be the case, I'd have to find my sources.

Page 444: "[...]subsidizing everyone who uses those goods and services in order to help a fraction of the population [the poor] seems less efficient than directly helping "the poor" with money or vouchers and letting the others pay their own way." I mostly agree. However, bureacracy has a tendency to screw over the poor. It's also just asking for corruption and an injection of incompetence. Having witnessed the process of getting diability pricing on various things... it's a good idea on paper, but can be equally as messy as subsidizing it for everyone.

It's one of the reasons I am pro-basic-income.

Page 447: "In the United States, it has been estimated that the cost of keeping a career criminal behind bars is at least $10,000 a year less than the cost of having him at large." Sounds like the cost of keeping a prisoner a criminal is the highest cost of them all. Recidivism is a thing we should work to avoid. The US having the largest prison population in the world is not something to celebrate.

Page 448: The author is criticizing "smart growth" land-use restrictions. Seems strange, considering the author's earlier criticism of government insurance for homes that are at high risk for weather-based damage. "Smart growth" restrictions often exist to help prevent such damage, if I understand correctly (though I need to find my sources there). One of the reasons the recent hurricane hit Texas so hard is the lack of regulations in buildings vastly reducing flood runoff. Again, find my sources.

Page 454: Beginning chapter 20, "Special Problems in the National Economy".

Page 458: Author blaming government intervention on high unemployment rate of the Great Depression. Even if the author is correct that the government is better in not intervening, the problem is that people think that a political solution is viable, and if the government doesn't give one, they may well revolt. There needs to be a plan and there needs to be some means of having the people trust that plan.

The author goes on to compare the Great Depression to "do-nothing" recession earlier. Considering that these would be pre-industrial revolution, it seems quite likely that this is an apples-to-oranges comparison. It's a lying with statistics sort of thing that the author warned against earlier in the book.

The author than gives two more examples, admittedly more modern, and perhaps this is something I should think about. He mentions the 1921 ecomonic downturn preceding the 1929 stock-market crash. Also, the stock-market crash of 1987. Though, I've read some economist writing on that second example, and still feel that it's not a fair example. Perhaps not all stock-market crashes are created equal, and there are ones where it makes sense to do nothing, and ones where something must be done.

Similar, in essence, to how sometimes tax cuts increase tax revenue, and sometimes tax increases increase revenue. Applying either solution at the wrong time could prove disasterous.

Page 460: The author talks about how what works and what doesn't is trial-and-error, and that the error has a huge human element that is quite costly. I agree. There's this danger imposed by finding the right system that best helps the people within find success. But we have to do the exploration. And sometimes we have to repeat past mistakes, because we need that data. How to do this whilst reducing the suffering it will cause is a serious problem we need to solve.

Page 463: The author talks about social security. The fact that all that money is immediately used for government spending elsewhere, and is not proper invested, does in fact irk me. Hopefully I get some social security money back, but if not... at least I'm doing my own savings.

Page 466: The author quotes disability statistics, acting as though a lot of people are mooching off the system now than before. Perhaps we're better at assessing disabilities and actually a lot of people need disability assistance?

Page 468: "Whatever the merits or demerits of particular government economic policies, the market alternative is very new as history is measured, and the combination of democracy and a free market still newer and rarer." I agree. No further comment here.

Page 473: I have now finished part 5, "The National Economy". Next is part 6, "The International Economy". I'm seriously enjoying this book and agreeing with a lot of what the author has to say. But oftentimes he mentions something I'm more intimately familiar with and then I think that maybe the book is charasmatic and good at explaining its point of view, but not really being fair to contrary points of view.

Perhaps I should make sure to track more of the stuff I find myself agreeing with, to check my sources and expand my economics understanding when I start reading more content on it later.

We'll see.

Tue Nov 07 02:59:14 UTC 2017

Watching a video critique of Universal Basic Income: