Daily Entry: November 11th, 2017

Mon Nov 13 21:06:27 UTC 2017

Lots of sleeping over the weekend. Backlog.

Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 SLEEP
1030 SLEEP
1100 SLEEP
1130 SLEEP
1200 SLEEP
1230 SLEEP
1300 SLEEP
1330 SLEEP
1400 SLEEP
1430 SLEEP
1500 SLEEP
1530 SLEEP
1600 SLEEP
1630 SLEEP
1700 SLEEP
1730 SLEEP
1800 SLEEP
1830 TV: Stranger Things 2
1900 TV: Stranger Things 2
1930 TV: Stranger Things 2
2000 TV: Stranger Things 2
2030 Gaming: Overwatch
2100 Gaming: Overwatch
2130 Gaming: Overwatch
2200 Gaming: Overwatch
2230 Gaming: Overwatch
2300 Gaming: Overwatch
2330 Gaming: Overwatch
0000 Gaming: Overwatch
0030 Gaming: Overwatch
0100 Gaming: Overwatch
0130 Gaming: Overwatch
0200 Gaming: Overwatch
0230 TV
0300 TV
0330 TV
0400 TV

Daily Entry: November 10th, 2017

Sat Nov 11 02:38:01 UTC 2017
Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 Gaming: Overwatch
0030 Gaming: Overwatch
0100 Gaming: Overwatch
0130 Gaming: Overwatch
0200 Gaming: Overwatch
0230 Gaming: Overwatch
0300 TV
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 SLEEP
1030 SLEEP
1100 SST Weekly Meeting
1130 SLEEP
1200 SLEEP
1230 SLEEP
1300 SLEEP
1330 Waking up
1400 Walk to work
1430 Steve coming on SST
1500 Shadow Interview
1530 Shadow Interview
1600 Ping pong
1630 Email
1700 Interview Form Submit
1730 Aimless meandering
1800 Aimless meandering
1830 PLANNING
1900 Walk home
1930 Cooking
2000 Cooking
2030 Reading
2100 Reading
2130 CA-3359
2200 CA-3359
2230 CA-3359
2300 CA-3359
2330 Weekly review
0000 Gaming: Overwatch
0030 Gaming: Overwatch
0100 Gaming: Overwatch
0130 Gaming: Overwatch
0200 Gaming: Overwatch
0230 Gaming: Overwatch
0300 TV Gaming: Overwatch
0330 TV Gaming: Overwatch
0400 SLEEP TV

Daily Entry: November 9th, 2017

Thu Nov 09 17:27:17 UTC 2017

Yesterday was bad productively speaking. Also, as I started going to sleep I had this familiar feeling of apathy. I can't let that overtake me. Both because it sucks and also because actually beating that feeling back is a super valuable skill to acquire.

So, today I'm going to focus heavily on how I feel, reflect on why, and try to guide my brain to the right place and avoid the wrong places. I think the recent elections (though the results were good) may have really drained me socially. I'm also quite socially active. And though my social endurance is quite high, it is stilla drain on my energy, not a gain. Perhaps my battery needs recharging there.

Also, though I've been using reddit and twitter somewhat responibly, I'm probably overdoing it now. So let's roll that activity back to zero and then my habits will reramp them up from there.

Thu Nov 09 19:35:35 UTC 2017

Forgot to copy over timeblock.

Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 Gaming: Overwatch
0030 Gaming: Overwatch
0100 Gaming: Overwatch
0130 Gaming: Overwatch
0200 Trying to sleep
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 Waking up
0900 Walk to work
0930 PLANNING
1000 Shadow Interview
1030 Shadow Interview
1100 Company All Hands
1130 Company All Hands
1200 Lunch
1230 Lunch
1300 CA-3359
1330 CA-3359
1400 CA-3359
1430 CA-3359
1500 Social buffer
1530 1:1 Prep
1600 1:1 Meeting
1630 ID Mapping Meeting
1700 Walk to the library
1730 CA-3359
1800 CA-3359
1830 CA-3359
1900 Reading
1930 Reading Walk home
2000 Walk home Future living plans
2030 Cooking Future living plans
2100 Cooking Gaming: Overwatch
2130 Gaming: Overwatch
2200 Gaming: Overwatch
2230 Gaming: Overwatch
2300 Gaming: Overwatch
2330 TV Gaming: Overwatch
Thu Nov 09 19:36:04 UTC 2017

Already feeling a lot better.

I think feeling like something was done is very valuable, and also where that something was done is important. I need to get work done, and I've been inactive on assigned task, so there was a lack of momentum.

The shadow interview this morning I think provided enough action to give me a feeling of momentum to now apply to the assigned task.

Also, being a part of the interview process has made me think about false positives and false negatives. Now, avoiding false positives is more important than false negatives, based on various logic I agree with, but it occurs to me that the higher the false negative rate is, the higher the likelihood of a false positive, regardless of how unlikely that false positive is.

It's like in medicine. Say a test for an illness is 99.9% accurate if the result is positive. Say that about 1 in 1 million people have that illness. Then say 1 million people are tested. On average there'd be about 100 false positives and (likely) one real positive or (unlikely) one false negative. Meaning that amongst the positives, 99% are false.

Now, this situation is distinctly different from interviewing, because results are far from 99.9% accurate, and positives are not nearly so rare. But positives are still rarer than negatives, and lower accuracy simply furthers this problem.

I think it's a considerable problem that companies don't try to measure their false negatives. At least, I'm not aware of any metrics tracking false negatives in hiring. It seems like it'd require serious resources to measure.

Thu Nov 09 21:34:25 UTC 2017

Thinking about it, I think really the above just means additional measurement of positives. False negatives are important to think about, but not in the way I just stated.

Daily Entry: November 8th, 2017

Wed Nov 08 21:37:56 UTC 2017
Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 TV: Star Wars
0030 TV: Star Wars
0100 SLEEP
0130 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 Wake up
1030 Computer
1100 Walk to work
1130 Aimless meandering
1200 Lunch
1230 Lunch
1300 Organizing email
1330 PLANNING
1400 Walk to Livio's Ping png
1430 Walk to Livio's
1500 IGDA Walk to Livio's
1530 IGDA
1600 CA-3359 IGDA
1630 CA-3359 IGDA
1700 CA-3359 Distracted meandering
1730 CA-3359 Distracted meandering
1800 Walk to library? Not This Time Meeting
1830 CA-3359 Not This Time Meeting
1900 CA-3359 Not This Time Meeting
1930 CA-3359 Not This Time Meeting
2000 CA-3359 Walk home
2030 Walk home Chores
2100 Cooking: Pumpkin Gaming: Overwatch
2130 Gaming: Overwatch
2200 Gaming: Overwatch
2230 Gaming: Overwatch
2300 Gaming: Overwatch
2330 TV Gaming: Overwatch
Thu Nov 09 17:26:26 UTC 2017

Super bad day for productivity. Let's fix that tomorrow.

Daily Entry: November 7th, 2017

Tue Nov 07 21:55:50 UTC 2017
Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 SLEEP
0030 SLEEP
0100 SLEEP
0130 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 SLEEP
1030 SLEEP
1100 Waking up
1130 Walk to work
1200 Lunch
1230 Lunch
1300 Aimless meandering
1330 PLANNING
1400 CA-3359
1430 SST Weekly Planning
1500 Social buffer CA-3359
1530 CA-3359
1600 Walk to library Ping pong
1630 CA-3359 Rent exploration
1700 CA-3359 Voting Ballot Drop-off
1730 Reading TV: YouTube
1800 Reading
1830 Reading
1900 Reading
1930 Voting Ballot Drop-off Buy Mario Odyssey
2000 Walk home Walk home
2030 Cooking Gaming: Mario
2100 Cooking Gaming: Mario
2130 Gaming: Mario
2200 Gaming: Mario
2230 Gaming: Mario
2300 SLEEP TV
2330 SLEEP TV
Wed Nov 08 02:14:03 UTC 2017

Basic Economics.

Page 475: Chapter 21, "International Trade" begins.

"[I]nternational trade is not a zero-sum contest. Both sides must gain or it would make no sense to continue trading." The book once again ignores concepts of leverage, and really short-term vs. long-term viability. China is still rightfully angry about enforced trading in early British/Chinese trading history.

There's a good Extra History series about it:

Though, I must note that I agree that things should be considered in non-zero-sum terms most of the time. Stronger together and all that great jazz.

Page 478: Three categories of gain from international trade: absolute advantage, comparative advantage, and economies of scale.

Page 480: The book actually is using a table to help explain comparative advantage. What is this?

Page 481: Comparative advantage is actually pretty cool. Best quote: "Comparative advantage means there is a place under the free-trade sun for every nation, no matter how poor, because people of eery nation can produce some products relatively more efficiently than they produce other products."

Page 489: Sub-section "[The ]Saving Jobs[ Fallacy]". I haven't read this section yet, but I'm going to assume the book will state how job totals will grow overall, it'll just be different work. The author may concede that people will be displaced, but will not really concede that this is a significant problem to be solved. More and more jobs are disappearing, and yes jobs are being created, but the people with the old jobs often don't have the skills for the new job. There needs to be a strategy to rectify this more efficiently than exists now.

Page 491: "The fallacy of composition, the belief that what is true of a part is true of the whole." The author mentioned this fallacy before, but I didn't note it, and I really like it, so I wanted to note it here. In this case he's talking about how "saving jobs" in one industry often costs more jobs in another. The given example being steel production and the various industries that use steel. Reducing imports saved $240 million and 5,000 jobs in the steel industry, and cost $600 million and 26,000 jobs elsewhere.

Which, looking at revenue vs jobs, looks like it hurt a larger number of lower-income jobs. The exact nature of these statistics is unknown to me at this time, though. For example, it may include jobs that didn't come into being because of these laws. I'll need to find the book's sources on this statement.

Page 492: Subsection "Infant Industries". Surprisingly, the book does not also mention how this fallacy doesn't take comparative advantages into account.

Page 497: The author zips right by a significant comment he quotes: "Asian manufacturers make 'razor-thin profit margins due to the hefty licensing fees charged by the global brand firms.'" A specific example of leverage in action and the author just ignores it.

Page 498: "As of 2006, 63 percent of the Japanese brand automobiles sold in the United States were manufactured in the United States." Heh, a fact I heard recently because the US president is an idiot.

Page 499: "It has been estimated that all the protectionism in the European Union countries put together saves no more than a grand total of 200,00 jobs-- at a cost of $43 billion. That works out to about $215,000 a year for each job saved." I should find the author's sources, but I already am against protectionism, so this is cool. Also, another argument for basic income (though I'm still digesting criticisms against it).

Page 500: Chapter 21 done.

Tomorrow, Chapter 22: International Transfers of Wealth.

Daily Entry: November 6th, 2017

Tue Nov 07 00:06:13 UTC 2017
Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 Computer
0030 SLEEP
0100 SLEEP
0130 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 SLEEP
1030 Computer
1100 Shower
1130 Walk to work
1200 Lunch
1230 Lunch
1300 Revisit ID Mapping UI
1330 PLANNING
1400 CA-3359
1430 Call USPS
1500 Meet with David/Noon
1530 CA-3359
1600 CA-3359
1630 End of day review
1700 Walk to library
1730 Reading
1800 Reading
1830 Reading
1900 Walk home
1930 Walk to Livio's Hanging at home
2000 Voting Hanging at home
2030 Hanging out Waking to Livio's
2100 Hanging out Voting
2130 Walk home Hanging out
2200 Gaming: Overwatch Hanging out
2230 Gaming: Overwatch Walking home
2300 Gaming: Overwatch SLEEP
2330 Gaming: Overwatch SLEEP
Tue Nov 07 01:25:11 UTC 2017

Basic Economics.

Page 437: Foreigners holding US debt is bad, foreigners running banks in various developing countries was fine earlier.

Page 440: "It is one thing to have a national debt as large as the Gross Domestic Product, or larger, at the end of a major war, for the rturn of peace means drastic reductions in military spending[...]" I think drastic reductions in military spending is definitely still the answer here.

Page 443: "The only way to determine whether the benefits [of the ferry ride] are really worth the cost of $108 per round trip is to charge $108 per round trip." This is the author talking about subsidized ferry rides around the San Francisco area.

This is a false statement. If all these people getting ferry rides are now not driving, then we have lessened the strain of rush hour on the roads in these areas. This could potentially be helping traffic overall and reducing commute times via pricing incentives. This could very well be a great allocation of the ferry resource, and alternative uses that are not subsidized may well lead to more cogested traffic and thus less productive work being done overall.

Though, I don't know how likely that is to be the case, I'd have to find my sources.

Page 444: "[...]subsidizing everyone who uses those goods and services in order to help a fraction of the population [the poor] seems less efficient than directly helping "the poor" with money or vouchers and letting the others pay their own way." I mostly agree. However, bureacracy has a tendency to screw over the poor. It's also just asking for corruption and an injection of incompetence. Having witnessed the process of getting diability pricing on various things... it's a good idea on paper, but can be equally as messy as subsidizing it for everyone.

It's one of the reasons I am pro-basic-income.

Page 447: "In the United States, it has been estimated that the cost of keeping a career criminal behind bars is at least $10,000 a year less than the cost of having him at large." Sounds like the cost of keeping a prisoner a criminal is the highest cost of them all. Recidivism is a thing we should work to avoid. The US having the largest prison population in the world is not something to celebrate.

Page 448: The author is criticizing "smart growth" land-use restrictions. Seems strange, considering the author's earlier criticism of government insurance for homes that are at high risk for weather-based damage. "Smart growth" restrictions often exist to help prevent such damage, if I understand correctly (though I need to find my sources there). One of the reasons the recent hurricane hit Texas so hard is the lack of regulations in buildings vastly reducing flood runoff. Again, find my sources.

Page 454: Beginning chapter 20, "Special Problems in the National Economy".

Page 458: Author blaming government intervention on high unemployment rate of the Great Depression. Even if the author is correct that the government is better in not intervening, the problem is that people think that a political solution is viable, and if the government doesn't give one, they may well revolt. There needs to be a plan and there needs to be some means of having the people trust that plan.

The author goes on to compare the Great Depression to "do-nothing" recession earlier. Considering that these would be pre-industrial revolution, it seems quite likely that this is an apples-to-oranges comparison. It's a lying with statistics sort of thing that the author warned against earlier in the book.

The author than gives two more examples, admittedly more modern, and perhaps this is something I should think about. He mentions the 1921 ecomonic downturn preceding the 1929 stock-market crash. Also, the stock-market crash of 1987. Though, I've read some economist writing on that second example, and still feel that it's not a fair example. Perhaps not all stock-market crashes are created equal, and there are ones where it makes sense to do nothing, and ones where something must be done.

Similar, in essence, to how sometimes tax cuts increase tax revenue, and sometimes tax increases increase revenue. Applying either solution at the wrong time could prove disasterous.

Page 460: The author talks about how what works and what doesn't is trial-and-error, and that the error has a huge human element that is quite costly. I agree. There's this danger imposed by finding the right system that best helps the people within find success. But we have to do the exploration. And sometimes we have to repeat past mistakes, because we need that data. How to do this whilst reducing the suffering it will cause is a serious problem we need to solve.

Page 463: The author talks about social security. The fact that all that money is immediately used for government spending elsewhere, and is not proper invested, does in fact irk me. Hopefully I get some social security money back, but if not... at least I'm doing my own savings.

Page 466: The author quotes disability statistics, acting as though a lot of people are mooching off the system now than before. Perhaps we're better at assessing disabilities and actually a lot of people need disability assistance?

Page 468: "Whatever the merits or demerits of particular government economic policies, the market alternative is very new as history is measured, and the combination of democracy and a free market still newer and rarer." I agree. No further comment here.

Page 473: I have now finished part 5, "The National Economy". Next is part 6, "The International Economy". I'm seriously enjoying this book and agreeing with a lot of what the author has to say. But oftentimes he mentions something I'm more intimately familiar with and then I think that maybe the book is charasmatic and good at explaining its point of view, but not really being fair to contrary points of view.

Perhaps I should make sure to track more of the stuff I find myself agreeing with, to check my sources and expand my economics understanding when I start reading more content on it later.

We'll see.

Tue Nov 07 02:59:14 UTC 2017

Watching a video critique of Universal Basic Income:

Daily Entry: November 5th, 2017

Mon Nov 06 21:31:20 UTC 2017
Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 SLEEP
0030 SLEEP
0100 SLEEP
0130 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP
0230 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP Daylight savings
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 SLEEP
1030 SLEEP
1100 SLEEP
1130 SLEEP
1200 SLEEP
1230 SLEEP
1300 Computer
1330 Breakfast
1400 Computer
1430 Walk to MoPop Museum
1500 MoPop Museum
1530 MoPop Museum
1600 MoPop Museum
1630 Walk to Chutney's
1700 Eat at Chutney's
1730 Eat at Chutney's
1800 Walk to theater
1830 Hang out at theater
1900 Hang out at theater
1930 Thor
2000 Thor
2030 Thor
2100 Thor
2130 Thor
2200 Walk/bus home
2230 Computer
2300 Computer
2330 Computer

Daily Entry: November 4th, 2017

Mon Nov 06 21:28:58 UTC 2017

Back fill

Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 TV
0030 TV
0100 SLEEP
0130 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 SLEEP
1030 SLEEP
1100 SLEEP
1130 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1200 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1230 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1300 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1330 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1400 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1430 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1500 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1530 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1600 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1630 TV: Overwatch World Cup
1700 Hanging with friends
1730 Hanging with friends
1800 Hanging with friends
1830 Hanging with friends
1900 Hanging with friends
1930 Hanging with friends
2000 Hanging with friends
2030 Hanging with friends
2100 Hanging with friends
2130 Hanging with friends
2200 Walk home
2230 SLEEP
2300 SLEEP
2330 SLEEP

Daily Entry: November 3rd, 2017

Sat Nov 04 00:50:55 UTC 2017

Super busy day! Busy right when starting, had to squeeze timeblocking in at several free moments. Mostly backfilling the day.

Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 Gaming: Overwatch
0030 TV
0100 SLEEP
0130 SLEEP
0200 SLEEP
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 Waking up
1030 Walk to work
1100 SST Weekly Standup
1130 SST Changes Meeting
1200 Lunch
1230 New Relic Learn
1300 New Relic Learn
1330 ID Mapping Infra
1400 Zendesk Connector Live
1430 PLANNING
1500 ID Mapping UI Meeting
1530 SST Core Eng Costing
1600 Social buffer Ping pong
1630 Weekly review Ping pong
1700 UNPLANNED Socializing
1730 UNPLANNED Weekly review
1800 Walk to theater? Walk home
1830 Thor? Cooking
1900 Thor? Cooking
1930 Thor? Reading
2000 Thor? Reading
2030 Thor? Gaming: Overwatch
2100 Thor? Gaming: Overwatch
2130 Walk home Gaming: Overwatch
2200 Gaming: Overwatch Gaming: Overwatch
2230 Gaming: Overwatch TV
2300 Gaming: Overwatch TV
2330 Gaming: Overwatch TV

Daily Entry: November 2nd, 2017

Thu Nov 02 21:04:53 UTC 2017
Time (PDT) Intention Revision 1 Revision 2
0000 Gaming: Overwatch
0030 TV
0100 TV
0130 TV
0200 TV
0230 SLEEP
0300 SLEEP
0330 SLEEP
0400 SLEEP
0430 SLEEP
0500 SLEEP
0530 SLEEP
0600 SLEEP
0630 SLEEP
0700 SLEEP
0730 SLEEP
0800 SLEEP
0830 SLEEP
0900 SLEEP
0930 SLEEP
1000 Computer
1030 Computer
1100 Walk to work
1130 SST Changes Meeting
1200 Lunch
1230 Lunch
1300 SST Id Mapping Meeting
1330 PLANNING and coffee run
1400 Quick review
1430 Walk to doctor's appt
1500 Reading
1530 Doctor's appointment
1600 Walk to library
1630 Reading
1700 Flatsticks
1730 Flatsticks
1800 Walk to library
1830 Reading
1900 Reading
1930 Reading
2000 Walk home and stretching
2030 Cooking
2100 Cooking
2130 Gaming: Overwatch Cooking
2200 Gaming: Overwatch
2230 Gaming: Overwatch
2300 Gaming: Overwatch
2330 TV Gaming: Overwatch
Thu Nov 02 21:51:41 UTC 2017

Waiting at doctor's for appointment. Half-hour early.

Thu Nov 02 21:52:05 UTC 2017

Basic Economics.

Page 428: "There are other times, of course, where a higher tax rate leads to a correspondingly higher amount of tax revenues and a lower tax rate leads to a lower amount of tax revenues." Got to be intellectually honest and point out that the author states this, as I implied earlier that he would avoid doing so.

I'm now reading a long section on taxes that is actually fairly interesting, but stuff I already kinda knew before and also things I have nothing to say on. Stuff like: "who is really paying these taxes" and "is this an efficient allocation of resources".

Page 434: The author mentions government bonds, and debt vs. GDP. Another factor I have heard recently is to consider the interest rate of that debt. So, really, how big the debt is isn't nearly as important as how expensive the debt is. A large debt at a lower interest rate can be equally as expensive as a moderate debt at a high interest rate.